Those who know me know who I will be rooting for, but I think I’ll just slap a post up here to tell you why.
Denver has one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play the game. Their receivers are big and talented as well. Their passing game is based on timing and quick releases from Manning to his receivers. The Denver running game is the weak point in the offense and it will be interesting to see how much Denver tries to run the ball.
Denver’s defense is good, but not great. Their corners are gifted and play well and that will be a factor. Denver has had some exposure to the zone-read offense and Peyton pushes his defense to train like he does, with plenty of film watching, so I suspect they will be prepared. However, the difference between film and play can be a wide gulf. Denver’s defense is clearly not the feature squad of the Broncos.
Seattle runs a zone-read offense and they run it effectively. Their receivers are quick, but still are subject to more than average dropped passes. Their running game is impressive. Marshawn Lynch is called “Beast Mode” for a reason. In the playoffs, Seattle had actually run the ball more than they’ve thrown it. Running the ball well and effectively, sets up the play-action pass perfectly.
Seattle’s defense is stellar. Their set is very basic and there isn’t a lot of trickery or funky sets to try to throw off the opponent’s offense. Their play is based more on sound defense and speed. Their defense has given up very few touchdowns compared to other teams in the league and are the number one rated defense.
Peyton Manning depends a lot on timing in his throws, where his receivers are supposed to be at a certain place so he can release the ball quickly, minimizing the threat of a sack. Seattle’s defense is physical and aggressive, bumping receivers off the line often, a very good deterrent to timing offenses. Seattle’s defense plays as a unit. Denver’s offense is based mostly on Peyton’s game. The edge here goes to Seattle. That edge is frighteningly small though.
Seattle’s offense versus Denver’s defense is where this game will be decided in my opinion. If Seattle can control the time of possession, their edge grows. They are a run first team as well, suited for a possession game. Keep Peyton off the field and your chances of winning increase. Seattle’s defense is the best in the league, but their offense is the controlling factor on how tired the defense gets and how challenged they will be from Peyton Manning’s arm and mind.
My pick is Seattle, and by a whopping three points at best. I’m hoping for a great game though. If Denver wins, I won’t be upset at all, being a huge Peyton fan. I’m a Seattle fan though and would like to see them win it after their loss to Pittsburgh in their previous Superbowl entry.
I’m a traditionalist and the old saying should prove true. Offense wins games, defense wins championships.